Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 10.110532 12.472087 15.120093 18.288488 21.954765 26.042052 30.920618
2025-12-28 6.918479 9.951921 13.751065 18.765959 25.111746 32.771940 42.605910
2026-01-04 5.089149 8.311419 12.720471 18.992097 27.461376 38.269091 52.842606
2026-01-11 3.945787 7.215761 12.046670 19.359227 29.763750 43.628938 63.037057
2026-01-18 3.186616 6.464363 11.650380 19.933452 32.246600 49.247704 73.769949
2026-01-25 2.435032 5.516727 10.752309 19.578068 33.272490 52.834096 81.857573
2026-02-01 1.965354 4.931593 10.305020 19.800358 35.082014 57.539782 91.644029
2026-02-08 1.518383 4.259137 9.574546 19.435398 35.900763 60.788479 99.451059
2026-02-15 1.148479 3.628680 8.791782 18.850750 36.266829 63.317466 106.260692
2026-02-22 0.972381 3.382948 8.689166 19.422504 38.519284 68.783741 117.597118
2026-03-01 0.757535 2.965643 8.160908 19.138682 39.286825 71.949426 125.570003
2026-03-08 0.611852 2.678802 7.849505 19.211484 40.642829 76.075958 135.134961
2026-03-15 0.425239 2.195932 7.030036 18.243106 40.191339 77.444224 140.793665
2026-03-22 0.348519 2.035450 6.939396 18.752123 42.466711 83.435979 154.043046
2026-03-29 0.275495 1.846100 6.732453 18.980366 44.221634 88.625319 166.197364
2026-04-05 0.221468 1.698758 6.600454 19.347475 46.251654 94.358535 179.425086
2026-04-12 0.182974 1.595065 6.564810 19.921438 48.711374 100.927662 194.235967
2026-04-19 0.131884 1.382118 6.155469 19.566222 49.289920 104.214812 203.714543
2026-04-26 0.102663 1.262116 5.997909 19.788408 51.037869 109.634376 216.922948
2026-05-03 0.071961 1.091956 5.626691 19.423620 51.532145 112.799711 226.402201
2026-05-10 0.047320 0.922046 5.197427 18.839251 51.501185 114.980656 234.244481
2026-05-17 0.038232 0.874414 5.203302 19.410733 53.995053 121.928292 250.528151
2026-05-24 0.025668 0.760337 4.912775 19.127045 54.582601 125.315408 260.692261